Welcome!

Welcome, everyone to the new blog.

I have created this blog for one simple reason: to help you make money.

For the past three years I have created and adjusted a formula to exploit holes in the betting market - and it is finally paying off. This is not an end result though.  I am always tweaking the formula to get an even more accurate outcome.  The basis of the formula is statistically driven, but each game is analyzed on a qualitative level as well.

I want to give a little background into the moneylines and how Diamond Crusher will use them in the forthcoming months.  I will not play a play that is -150 or greater, because I do not see any value in risking the money. Ways we will be able to manipulate the moneyline when I see a value play with a team that is favored by something greater than -150 is by using the runline to shift the risk from a financial perspective to a score derived risk.  This does not mean if a team is favored by -150 or more we will take every team.  There are still some extra hoops for that team to jump through in order for us to be able to consider this a wager.

Every day I will be posting MLB picks.  These picks will also be available on my twitter account as well.  The advantage of the blog is I will be able to give write-ups of each game that will have the reasoning behind these picks.  Expect the write-ups to be available 30 minutes before first pitch on week days and at least an hour in advance on weekends. Check out my twitter account @diamond_crush7.

All of the odds that are presented will be odds that are currently available at the time of posting.

Ratings:

I have five different ratings available that I will be giving out.

Moneyball:  These are rare picks. I expect to only have two to three of these a year.  This will only happen when all of my indicators that I use are pointing to a blowout for that specific team. I will try to give a heads up on these plays since they are so special.

Best Play:  I will have anywhere from zero to 4 of these picks a week.  This varies greatly depending on the variables that play out during any given week.  I'm expecting to hit these plays at a 60% level factoring in moneyline weighting.

Good Play:  These will almost happen daily.  In this type of pick I see an edge for the team, which should be taken advantage of.

Decent Play:  These are for the daily bettor.  If you want to have something to bet on a given day then these plays are will suffice.  They are not the strongest plays, but I do see an advantage wagering on the team.

Underdog Special:  Almost every day you see teams that are not supposed to have a chance to win come out on top.  I will find a game every once in a while that seems to point to an underdog pulling off the upset.  These plays will vary greatly depending on all the variables that I use.

Standings:

I will be updating standings daily (hopefully).  Sometimes I might be a little too busy to update the standings.  I will keep separate standings for each of the ratings and an overall standing.